HYDLE – TSOIGDH

In the history of HYDLE.com… this ridiculous “TSOIGDH” entry marks my 999th public blog post since May of 2009 – When I started this crazy world of blogging ideas, thoughts and Genius vs. Not Genius intermanents and social media successes or failures.

So for the sake of getting google credit for it…

“TSOIGDH” = TURNING SHIT ON IT’S GOD DAMN HEAD

Turning shit on it’s god damn head is going to be my 1 single inspiration for the next 999 blogpost entries. I can’t wait to open up my connection layer for all my loyal readers… so I can start finding out who you actually are.

Cheers to 999!

TSOIGDH

Seth Godin – The Forever Recession (and the coming revolution)

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There are actually two recessions:

The first is the cyclical one, the one that inevitably comes and then inevitably goes. There’s plenty of evidence that intervention can shorten it, and also indications that overdoing a response to it is a waste or even harmful.

The other recession, though, the one with the loss of “good factory jobs” and systemic unemployment–I fear that this recession is here forever.

Why do we believe that jobs where we are paid really good money to do work that can be systemized, written in a manual and/or exported are going to come back ever? The internet has squeezed inefficiencies out of many systems, and the ability to move work around, coordinate activity and digitize data all combine to eliminate a wide swath of the jobs the industrial age created.

There’s a race to the bottom, one where communities fight to suspend labor and environmental rules in order to become the world’s cheapest supplier. The problem with the race to the bottom is that you might win…

Factories were at the center of the industrial age. Buildings where workers came together to efficiently craft cars, pottery, insurance policies and organ transplants–these are job-centric activities, places where local inefficiences are trumped by the gains from mass production and interchangeable parts. If local labor costs the industrialist more, he has to pay it, because what choice does he have?

No longer. If it can be systemized, it will be. If the pressured middleman can find a cheaper source, she will. If the unaffiliated consumer can save a nickel by clicking over here or over there, then that’s what’s going to happen.

It was the inefficiency caused by geography that permitted local workers to earn a better wage, and it was the inefficiency of imperfect communication that allowed companies to charge higher prices.

The industrial age, the one that started with the industrial revolution, is fading away. It is no longer the growth engine of the economy and it seems absurd to imagine that great pay for replaceable work is on the horizon.

This represents a significant discontinuity, a life-changing disappointment for hard-working people who are hoping for stability but are unlikely to get it. It’s a recession, the recession of a hundred years of the growth of the industrial complex.

I’m not a pessimist, though, because the new revolution, the revolution of connection, creates all sorts of new productivity and new opportunities. Not for repetitive factory work, though, not for the sort of thing ADP measures. Most of the wealth created by this revolution doesn’t look like a job, not a full time one anyway.

When everyone has a laptop and connection to the world, then everyone owns a factory. Instead of coming together physically, we have the ability to come together virtually, to earn attention, to connect labor and resources, to deliver value.

Stressful? Of course it is. No one is trained in how to do this, in how to initiate, to visualize, to solve interesting problems and then deliver. Some see the new work as a hodgepodge of little projects, a pale imitation of a ‘real’ job. Others realize that this is a platform for a kind of art, a far more level playing field in which owning a factory isn’t a birthright for a tiny minority but something that hundreds of millions of people have the chance to do.

Gears are going to be shifted regardless. In one direction is lowered expectations and plenty of burger flipping. In the other is a race to the top, in which individuals who are awaiting instructions begin to give them instead.

The future feels a lot more like marketing–it’s impromptu, it’s based on innovation and inspiration, and it involves connections between and among people–and a lot less like factory work, in which you do what you did yesterday, but faster and cheaper.

This means we may need to change our expecations, change our training and change how we engage with the future. Still, it’s better than fighting for a status quo that is no longer. The good news is clear: every forever recession is followed by a lifetime of growth from the next thing…

Job creation is a false idol. The future is about gigs and assets and art and an ever-shifting series of partnerships and projects. It will change the fabric of our society along the way. No one is demanding that we like the change, but the sooner we see it and set out to become an irreplaceable linchpin, the faster the pain will fade, as we get down to the work that needs to be (and now can be) done.

This revolution is at least as big as the last one, and the last one changed everything.

Wake up Sheep

[iDevice Link] <— 39,607 Some very interesting analogies and thoughts presented via messengers, comedians and a little bit of sappy emotional music. 3:05

“When you win… you go into this smoky room with the 12 industrialists capitalists scumfucks who got you in there. And your in this smoking room and this… little screen comes down. And a big guy and a cigar says – “roll the film”. And it’s a shot of the Kennedy assassination from an angle you’ve never seen before.

And then the film – the screen goes up and the lights come on and they go… “Your the new president – any questions?””

Classic find Robert Fulton.

TED – Nicholas Christakis – Social

“After mapping humans’ intricate social networks, Nicholas Christakis and colleague James Fowler began investigating how this information could better our lives. Now, he reveals his hot-off-the-press findings: These networks can be used to detect epidemics earlier than ever, from the spread of innovative ideas to risky behaviors to viruses (like H1N1).”

This TED talk will drastically change my future.

:)

Todays Inspiration

Advice to the smaller shop owners in this tough economic climate?
There will be a lot of pressure to sell on price. There will be a lot of pressure to do work on spec, or jump through ridiculous hoops. There will be a lot of pressure to think that the bad client in the hand is better than the great client in the bush. But there are only 3 reasons to have a client – great work, lots of money, great fun. Ideally your client provides you with all three. But if they’re not providing you with any of those things, they’re not a client. They’re a black hole. And that’s true in any economy.

[Read Full]

Socialnomics Revisited

Always fun to look back at where we came from – only to predict where we are going. As you can see here though – we are still trying to get people caught up on the thinking of how powerful this engine is going to become.

Last Socialnomics Update

2009 Media Elements

In 2009 I averaged just over 69 captured media elements a day which is directly on par with the last three years.

I shot 9,582 videos and 14,304 photos on the canon. 1,421 came from the iPhone which is no longer a daily pocket device for me.

HYDLE – Super Bowl Ad Wrap-up

Song – Dream Police – Cheap Trick

I tracked 100 advertisements throughout Super Bowl XLIV and the winner for most creative and overall best executed upon first review is Audi… and this is partly why – Take the challenge. Nice work Paul Venables from Venebles Bell & Partners in San Francisco.

Two other ads that blatantly got me were the Denny’s chickens. The first of 3 Denny’s commercials aired in the 3rd quarter and I perceived it as old, already been done… and not very impressive.

But surprisingly they had two more coming in the 4th quarter from Goodby Silverstein & Partners.

Inspirational

Coca Cola came through with their regular two weirdly inspirational spots by Wieden + Kennedy, Portland. Google made some internet waves and told a story through search. FloTV spent some coin and their Generation advertisement was inspiring to kick off the half time show.

Let Downs

E*Trade babies were back, but not with original voices. Maybe they are growing up. It is very hard to top what they have already accomplished with their babies. So why keep trying.

Doritos should probably quit allowing consumers to make their ads for them.

Go Daddy has nearly almost run its course. Their second ad slightly saved the first… but nothing like they used to be… simply because (lesson to everyone listed above) da da da… it has already been done before.

Checks

Additional commercials that got checks in my book. As in – I would like to check them out again are:

Miller High Life Little Guys link Station Film
McDonalds Play You For It link Translation
Snickers Old Lady link BBDO, New York
Monster Beaver link BBDO, New York
Cars.com Timothy Richmond link
CBS David Letterman SB Party link
Dodge Man’s Last Stand link Wieden + Kennedy, Portland
Intel Lunchroom link Venables Bell & Partners, San Francisco
Intel Timeline link Venables Bell & Partners, San Francisco
VW Slug Bug link
HomeAway.com Griswold’s link
CareerBuilder.com Job Fairy link MJZ
2010 Census Census link DraftFCB, New York
NFL Networks Best Fans on the Planet link Grey, New York
TruTV Groundhog Day link Grey, New York

The Surprise

Of all brands and commercials that I would never consider as being something I could support… the big surprise this year was this Kia – Sorento ad from David & Goliath, Los Angeles.

Beer

Of the 8 Budweiser and Bud Light related ads that ran… 3 interested me. Asteroid, T-Pain and Lost. All of which were puns off their new “It’s the shear sign of a good time” jingle.

Experiences Rule Advertising

Cheers to Red Bull – Guinness – Nike … all great examples of non technology bred companies that understand the experience-driven world.

Red Bull basically pioneered the experiential category. Not only did the brand rise to prominence by sponsoring alternative athletes and lifestyles, it went further by creating its own events, like Red Bull’s Flugtag and even its own sports like Red Bull’s Crashed Ice, which takes over old Quebec with a mix of hockey and motorcross. Even the brand’s website has morphed into a blog, much like today’s most popular publishers.

A quick and fun read awaits you by clicking this link.