An Easily Understandable Explanation of Derivative Markets

Heidi is the proprietor of a bar in Detroit . She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her bar. To solve this problem, she comes up with new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later.

She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Heidi’s “drink now, pay later” marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Heidi’s bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Detroit .

By providing her customers’ freedom from immediate payment demands, Heidi gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Heidi’s gross sales volume increases massively.

A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Heidi’s borrowing limit. He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then bundled and traded on international security markets. Naive investors don’t really understand that the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics.

Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses.

One day, even though the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Heidi’s bar. He so informs Heidi.

Heidi then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts. Since, Heidi cannot fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy. The bar closes and the eleven employees lose their jobs.

Overnight, DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS drop in price by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the banks liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

The suppliers of Heidi’s bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms’ pension funds in the various BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds. Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multi-billion dollar no-strings attached cash infusion from the Government. The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers.

Now, do you understand

Movies – Up with Hangover

Still haven’t seen any of these – are there reasons to?

1. “Up,” $44.2 million.
2. “The Hangover,” $43.3 million.
3. “Land of the Lost,” $19.5 million.
4. “Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian,” $14.7 million.
5. “Star Trek,” $8.4 million.
6. “Terminator Salvation,” $8.2 million.
7. “Drag Me to Hell,” $7.3 million.
8. “Angels & Demons,” $6.5 million.
9. “My Life in Ruins,” $3.2 million.
10. “Dance Flick,” $2 million.

Movies – Pixar is Up

Pixar kills it again… surprise surprise – Not.

1. “Up,” $68.2 million.
Pixar - Up up up and Away
2. “Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian,” $25.5 million.
3. “Drag Me to Hell,” $16.6 million.
4. “Terminator Salvation,” $16.1 million.
5. “Star Trek,” $12.8 million.
6. “Angels & Demons,” $11.2 million.
7. “Dance Flick,” $4.9 million.
8. “X-Men Origins: Wolverine,” $3.9 million.
9. “Ghosts of Girlfriends Past,” $1.9 million.
10. “Obsessed,” $665,000.

Green Steps = Small Steps

This video is not interesting enough to embed… and neither is this feel good story about Marcal – the oldest recycled paper maker in the country – but it brings up good points about green-washing.

It’s the whole idea that people are not going to make dramatic steps in anything they do. Even if you want to go green, it’s small steps.

Golf + Technology = TrackMan

TrackMan is an amazing little orange device that uses doppler technology to calculate pretty much everything you would ever want to know about your golf swing. Unfortunately TrackMan can not calculate a proper media delivery method from their website – or I would have linked to them.

TrackMan is used by nearly every tour player to analyze their swing and maximize driver distance by calculating swing speed, ball speed, vertical launch degree, launch spin and smash factor. It is also exclusively used by the LDA at the RE/MAX World Long Drive Championship to enhance ESPN’s telecast of the 2009 finals in Mesquite, Nevada on October 25-30th. Who wants to go?

Here are some videos I would like to remember I watched.
TrackMan at 2008 LG Skins Game
TrackMan at 2009 Sony Open

Kristi Leskinen is a Superstar

Superstars is Back – and it’s back on ABC beginning June 23rd, 2009.

The only reason I really care is not because it features sports heros and celebrities teamed together to compete for something of extreme value… but because another good friend is going to reach network television superstardom.

Congratulations Kristina Leskinen on hopefully kicking some Terrell Owens / Bode Miller / Jennifer Capriati / Brandi Chastain (think soccer + sports bra) and other sudo celebrity / superstar asses.

Superstars Timeline

1973 – Intro
1973 – Swimming Heats
1979 – Opening Titles
1980 – Intro + Contestants
2008 – BBC Remake Gym Test

A New Can in Town

newcanintown

Los Angeles, New York, Chicago, Philadelphia and Seattle – you get a real live cold front today.

The rest of America – just go to your local LQ and pick up some new Cold Activated Cans.

Bill Coors invented the aluminum can in 1959 and 50 years later we can finally tell how cold our beer is just by looking at it.  Genius.

What size do you prefer your frost brewed cold coors light in – 8, 10, 12, 16 or 24 oz?

The Value of Green

penn-schoen-green-pre-recession-purchasing-decisions-april-2009jpg4penn-schoen-jwt-green-current-purchasing-decisions-april-2009jpg2penn-schoen-jwt-green-consumer-intent-purchase-after-recession-april-2009jpg2

Interesting to see the trends in purchasing power as Americans work their way through this economic situation.

As I have said all along – it is not that we are NOT spending money.  It’s that when we do spend it, we are definitely looking for the value in what we are buying.

Take *note* that Value does not always mean Quality.

HYDLE – Cotton Candy Cam

[iDevice Link] <— 567 Behind the scenes at the 2007 Portland Alli Sports AST Dew Tour Stop #3. Obviously this is one of the most fun summers I've ever spent traveling and announcing as the roll of G-Man at all dew tour stops. It didn't pay as much as computer work - but was definitely more interactive.

In Order of Appearance:

Heather Ann Minshall
Dave Pavone
Pat Galluzzo
Patti Mapes
Jet Robinson
Jenny Ganakas
Noah Gold
Shanna Bridges
Amy Doyle
Catfish
Mike Spinner
Garret Reynolds